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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
GaditimaCORGII00gringo00BreakTheBank
Record (consensus markets)39% (276–424, n=700)63% (372–218, n=590)75% (6–2, n=8)45% (501–601, n=1102)
Consensus PnL-$7.4K$4.4M$3.5M$9.6M
Tracked asPM monthly #384PM monthly #161was PM monthly #19PM monthly #1
Sides with the consensus54% (13 of 24 open)50% (1 of 2 open)no open consensus position70% (23 of 33 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yetnone with 10+ settled
  • NFL +50 pts n=112, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=63, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +41 pts n=275, ROI +38%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won—98% of 378 at avg 46¢, ROI +55%86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25%98% of 494 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%
Entries under 30¢—9% (won 91% of 35)0%11% (won 87% of 52)
Entries 30–50¢—55% (won 99% of 209)0%34% (won 98% of 169)
Entries 50–70¢—34% (won 100% of 127)100% (won 86% of 7)34% (won 99% of 170)
Entries 70¢ and up—2% (won 100% of 7)0%21% (won 100% of 103)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

0 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketGaditimaCORGII00gringo00BreakTheBank
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 51 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $3.5K——Yes $4.6K