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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
GaditimaBreakTheBankCORGIIbeachboy4
Record (consensus markets)39% (276–424, n=700)45% (501–601, n=1102)63% (372–218, n=590)69% (43–19, n=62)
Consensus PnL-$7.4K$9.6M$4.4M$5.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #384PM monthly #1PM monthly #161was PM monthly #24
Sides with the consensus54% (13 of 24 open)69% (22 of 32 open)50% (1 of 2 open)100% (1 of 1 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • NFL +50 pts n=112, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=63, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +41 pts n=275, ROI +38%
  • NHL +27 pts n=13, ROI +19%
  • Soccer +10 pts n=81, ROI +5%
Weakest topic———NBA −4 pts, n=96
Settled positions, side won—98% of 494 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%98% of 378 at avg 46¢, ROI +55%57% of 216 at avg 54¢, ROI +3%
Entries under 30¢—11% (won 87% of 52)9% (won 91% of 35)3% (won 17% of 6)
Entries 30–50¢—34% (won 98% of 169)55% (won 99% of 209)29% (won 57% of 63)
Entries 50–70¢—34% (won 99% of 170)34% (won 100% of 127)55% (won 53% of 118)
Entries 70¢ and up—21% (won 100% of 103)2% (won 100% of 7)13% (won 86% of 29)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

0 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketGaditimaBreakTheBankCORGIIbeachboy4
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 51 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $3.5KYes $4.6K——