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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
GaditimaBreakTheBank
Record (consensus markets)39% (266–409, n=675)45% (484–601, n=1085)
Consensus PnL-$6.7K$9.6M
Tracked asPM monthly #378PM monthly #1
Sides with the consensus44% (74 of 167 open)75% (27 of 36 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • NFL +50 pts n=112, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=63, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +41 pts n=275, ROI +38%
Weakest topic——
Settled positions, side won—98% of 494 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%
Entries under 30¢—11% (won 87% of 52)
Entries 30–50¢—34% (won 98% of 169)
Entries 50–70¢—34% (won 99% of 170)
Entries 70¢ and up—21% (won 100% of 103)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

4 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketGaditimaBreakTheBank
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 51 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $3.6KYes $4.6K
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 49 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $944Yes $5.4K
Spread: Nuggets (-7.5)
same side · consensus Nuggets
Nuggets $55Nuggets $317K
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?
same side · consensus No
Yes $923Yes $34K
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 50 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $191Yes $4.8K
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 52 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $16Yes $3.0K