PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
FeedTheBigBird0xE16D3F2A5807999b358aFfD9445C3a09E45E5e30-1776429210592tradecraftBreakTheBank
Record (consensus markets)51% (30–29, n=59)92% (701–62, n=763)49% (1984–2074, n=4058)67% (450–220, n=670)
Consensus PnL$6.5K$14.4M$914K$9.1M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #904was PM monthly #999PM monthly #271PM monthly #1
Sides with the consensus50% (1 of 2 open)0% (0 of 2 open)30% (3 of 10 open)75% (45 of 60 open)
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settled
  • Tennis +7 pts n=1535, ROI +4%
  • NFL +11 pts n=103, ROI +19%
  • Soccer +6 pts n=515, ROI +2%
  • NFL +51 pts n=105, ROI +51%
  • NBA +51 pts n=48, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +41 pts n=272, ROI +38%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won97% of 29 at avg 53¢, ROI +46%99% of 731 at avg 59¢, ROI +42%57% of 2295 at avg 50¢, ROI +4%97% of 468 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%
Entries under 30¢0%2% (won 100% of 14)31% (won 10% of 712)11% (won 87% of 52)
Entries 30–50¢34% (won 90% of 10)15% (won 97% of 113)17% (won 46% of 401)35% (won 98% of 162)
Entries 50–70¢62% (won 100% of 18)65% (won 99% of 477)18% (won 77% of 421)32% (won 99% of 152)
Entries 70¢ and up3% (won 100% of 1)17% (won 100% of 127)33% (won 96% of 761)22% (won 100% of 102)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.