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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| FeedTheBigBird | 0x75d1B199a96801338e67a6eFAa35C0028eA87A5F-1770658242710 | tradecraft | NiNo999 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 51% (30–29, n=59) | 49% (1212–1266, n=2478) | 49% (1984–2074, n=4058) | 89% (446–56, n=502) |
| Consensus PnL | $6.5K | $60K | $914K | $9.5M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #904 | Hand-picked | PM monthly #271 | was PM monthly #985 |
| Sides with the consensus | 50% (1 of 2 open) | 33% (4 of 12 open) | 30% (3 of 10 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics | none with 10+ settled |
| ||
| Weakest topic | — | Politics −6 pts, n=74 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 97% of 29 at avg 53¢, ROI +46% | 55% of 1049 at avg 50¢, ROI +8% | 57% of 2295 at avg 50¢, ROI +4% | 90% of 502 at avg 50¢, ROI +42% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 0% | 24% (won 19% of 254) | 31% (won 10% of 712) | 7% (won 81% of 37) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 34% (won 90% of 10) | 23% (won 40% of 241) | 17% (won 46% of 401) | 39% (won 85% of 197) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 62% (won 100% of 18) | 29% (won 70% of 304) | 18% (won 77% of 421) | 49% (won 94% of 244) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 3% (won 100% of 1) | 24% (won 89% of 250) | 33% (won 96% of 761) | 5% (won 96% of 24) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.