PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
FeedTheBigBird0x492442EaB586F242B53bDa933fD5dE859c8A3782-1766317541188humbleboyNiNo999
Record (consensus markets)51% (30–29, n=59)46% (119–138, n=257)67% (385–193, n=578)89% (446–56, n=502)
Consensus PnL$6.5K$18.7M$172K$9.5M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #904was PM monthly #715PM monthly #239was PM monthly #985
Sides with the consensus50% (1 of 2 open)no open consensus position44% (4 of 9 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settled
  • NHL +5 pts n=186, ROI +6%
  • Soccer +42 pts n=167, ROI +43%
  • Tennis +39 pts n=201, ROI +40%
  • NBA +51 pts n=16, ROI +50%
Weakest topic—College Basketball −8 pts, n=259——
Settled positions, side won97% of 29 at avg 53¢, ROI +46%50% of 1403 at avg 50¢, ROI −1%69% of 615 at avg 51¢, ROI +21%90% of 502 at avg 50¢, ROI +42%
Entries under 30¢0%0% (won 0% of 5)5% (won 47% of 30)7% (won 81% of 37)
Entries 30–50¢34% (won 90% of 10)41% (won 48% of 575)42% (won 60% of 256)39% (won 85% of 197)
Entries 50–70¢62% (won 100% of 18)58% (won 51% of 819)45% (won 75% of 279)49% (won 94% of 244)
Entries 70¢ and up3% (won 100% of 1)0% (won 100% of 4)8% (won 92% of 50)5% (won 96% of 24)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

0 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketFeedTheBigBird0x492442EaB586F242B53bDa933fD5dE859c8A3782-1766317541188humbleboyNiNo999
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Nemiga (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage
opposite sides · consensus BetBoom Team
BetBoom Team $15K—Nemiga $3.3K—
Counter-Strike: G2 vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage
opposite sides · consensus G2
Aurora Gaming $15K—G2 $7—