PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
Executor398zhuz632std0siick
Record (consensus markets)no settled market59% (238–168, n=406)95% (10382–509, n=10891)59% (486–344, n=830)
Consensus PnL—$1.0M$34K$99K
Tracked asPM monthly #499PM monthly #952was PM monthly #985Hand-picked
Sides with the consensus0% (0 of 2 open)0% (0 of 3 open)no open consensus position75% (40 of 53 open)
Strongest topics
  • Soccer +47 pts n=238, ROI +47%
  • Crypto +45 pts n=5979, ROI +46%
  • Geopolitics +12 pts n=445, ROI +4%
  • MMA +14 pts n=212, ROI +20%
  • NHL +14 pts n=95, ROI +17%
Weakest topic———NFL −7 pts, n=19
Settled positions, side won78% of 73 at avg 27¢, ROI +32%99% of 238 at avg 52¢, ROI +47%99% of 5979 at avg 53¢, ROI +46%68% of 1019 at avg 56¢, ROI +6%
Entries under 30¢77% (won 75% of 56)0% (won 100% of 1)1% (won 45% of 65)21% (won 22% of 209)
Entries 30–50¢5% (won 75% of 4)34% (won 100% of 82)15% (won 98% of 885)14% (won 57% of 143)
Entries 50–70¢11% (won 88% of 8)64% (won 99% of 152)78% (won 100% of 4649)30% (won 72% of 304)
Entries 70¢ and up7% (won 100% of 5)1% (won 100% of 3)6% (won 96% of 380)36% (won 95% of 363)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.