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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| EMCSQ | theta-thunberg | ColdW | Bonereaper | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 35% (27–51, n=78) | 49% (142–148, n=290) | 66% (1754–900, n=2654) | 88% (51983–7229, n=59212) |
| Consensus PnL | $538 | $64K | $234K | $17.8M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #533 | Hand-picked | was PM monthly #893 | PM monthly #258 |
| Sides with the consensus | no open consensus position | 62% (8 of 13 open) | 0% (0 of 1 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics | not computed yet |
| ||
| Weakest topic | — | Culture −23 pts, n=11 | Soccer −1 pts, n=308 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | — | 51% of 597 at avg 47¢, ROI +5% | 58% of 2425 at avg 56¢, ROI +4% | 99% of 52599 at avg 67¢, ROI +22% |
| Entries under 30¢ | — | 42% (won 10% of 253) | 22% (won 12% of 542) | 4% (won 91% of 2329) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | — | 10% (won 37% of 60) | 20% (won 42% of 483) | 15% (won 96% of 8078) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | — | 12% (won 74% of 72) | 22% (won 63% of 525) | 33% (won 99% of 17113) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | — | 36% (won 95% of 212) | 36% (won 92% of 875) | 48% (won 100% of 25079) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.