PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
EMCSQdzsibenajaColdW0xcE25E214D5cfE4f459cf67F08DF581885AAE7Fdc-1777575398144
Record (consensus markets)35% (27–51, n=78)87% (137–20, n=157)66% (1754–900, n=2654)93% (55557–4137, n=59694)
Consensus PnL$538$130K$234K$7.1M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #533Hand-pickedwas PM monthly #893PM monthly #698
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position100% (17 of 17 open)0% (0 of 1 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • Crypto +36 pts n=61974, ROI +38%
Weakest topic——Soccer −1 pts, n=308—
Settled positions, side won—89% of 195 at avg 85¢, ROI +3%58% of 2425 at avg 56¢, ROI +4%100% of 61974 at avg 64¢, ROI +38%
Entries under 30¢—5% (won 0% of 10)22% (won 12% of 542)3% (won 100% of 1837)
Entries 30–50¢—2% (won 0% of 4)20% (won 42% of 483)16% (won 100% of 9770)
Entries 50–70¢—7% (won 92% of 13)22% (won 63% of 525)44% (won 100% of 27390)
Entries 70¢ and up—86% (won 96% of 168)36% (won 92% of 875)37% (won 100% of 22977)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.