PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
EMCSQtheta-thunbergColdW
Record (consensus markets)no settled market49% (142–147, n=289)66% (1756–898, n=2654)
Consensus PnL—$64K$233K
Tracked aswas PM monthly #533Hand-pickedwas PM monthly #893
Sides with the consensus0% (0 of 1 open)58% (7 of 12 open)100% (1 of 1 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
Weakest topic—Culture −23 pts, n=11Soccer −1 pts, n=308
Settled positions, side won—51% of 597 at avg 47¢, ROI +5%58% of 2425 at avg 56¢, ROI +4%
Entries under 30¢—42% (won 10% of 253)22% (won 12% of 542)
Entries 30–50¢—10% (won 37% of 60)20% (won 42% of 483)
Entries 50–70¢—12% (won 74% of 72)22% (won 63% of 525)
Entries 70¢ and up—36% (won 95% of 212)36% (won 92% of 875)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.