PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
EMCSQ0xEaDF5963682Dd237184F484DA138ce74bFeC26eF-176880137221388MBreakTheBank
Record (consensus markets)35% (27–51, n=78)83% (81–17, n=98)49% (678–702, n=1380)67% (476–237, n=713)
Consensus PnL$538$42K$532K$10.5M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #533was PM monthly #949was PM monthly #629PM monthly #1
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position0% (0 of 1 open)100% (1 of 1 open)79% (50 of 63 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • NFL +50 pts n=112, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=63, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +41 pts n=275, ROI +38%
Weakest topic——Mentions −14 pts, n=12—
Settled positions, side won—88% of 104 at avg 61¢, ROI +17%55% of 1257 at avg 42¢, ROI +13%98% of 494 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%
Entries under 30¢—13% (won 79% of 14)27% (won 18% of 337)11% (won 87% of 52)
Entries 30–50¢—13% (won 85% of 13)36% (won 58% of 455)34% (won 98% of 169)
Entries 50–70¢—36% (won 78% of 37)30% (won 75% of 371)34% (won 99% of 170)
Entries 70¢ and up—38% (won 100% of 40)7% (won 87% of 94)21% (won 100% of 103)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

1 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketEMCSQ0xEaDF5963682Dd237184F484DA138ce74bFeC26eF-176880137221388MBreakTheBank
Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals?
same side · consensus Yes
——Yes $875Yes $21