PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
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Record (consensus markets)60% (820–546, n=1366)44% (464–594, n=1058)49% (324–338, n=662)89% (47–6, n=53)
Consensus PnL$38K-$1.4K-$102K$65K
Tracked aswas PM monthly #896was PM monthly #975was PM monthly #917PM monthly #279
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position17% (1 of 6 open)no open consensus positionno open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • Esports +13 pts n=847, ROI +12%
  • NBA +3 pts n=159, ROI +6%
Weakest topicSoccer −6 pts, n=87———
Settled positions, side won67% of 1105 at avg 56¢, ROI +7%100% of 391 at avg 51¢, ROI +50%83% of 402 at avg 56¢, ROI +28%90% of 41 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢4% (won 10% of 40)8% (won 100% of 30)2% (won 44% of 9)0%
Entries 30–50¢25% (won 51% of 274)51% (won 100% of 198)23% (won 75% of 91)22% (won 67% of 9)
Entries 50–70¢57% (won 72% of 635)23% (won 100% of 91)66% (won 86% of 264)68% (won 100% of 28)
Entries 70¢ and up14% (won 87% of 156)18% (won 100% of 72)9% (won 89% of 38)10% (won 75% of 4)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.