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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| Devilswithjoystick | stupid22 | RN1 | cqs | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | no settled market | 95% (195–11, n=206) | 49% (7263–7633, n=14896) | 67% (151–73, n=224) |
| Consensus PnL | — | -$122K | $13.4M | $309K |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #991 | was PM monthly #268 + pinned | Hand-picked | was PM monthly #998 |
| Sides with the consensus | no open consensus position | 94% (33 of 35 open) | 58% (97 of 166 open) | 73% (11 of 15 open) |
| Strongest topics | not computed yet |
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| |
| Weakest topic | — | Geopolitics −8 pts, n=79 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | — | 95% of 297 at avg 95¢, ROI −1% | 93% of 19633 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% | 70% of 341 at avg 64¢, ROI +5% |
| Entries under 30¢ | — | 2% (won 50% of 6) | 10% (won 52% of 2020) | 20% (won 9% of 69) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | — | 0% | 22% (won 93% of 4355) | 11% (won 47% of 36) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | — | 1% (won 67% of 3) | 37% (won 99% of 7260) | 13% (won 69% of 45) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | — | 97% (won 96% of 288) | 31% (won 100% of 5998) | 56% (won 96% of 191) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
0 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | Devilswithjoystick | stupid22 | RN1 | cqs |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cuban regime falls in 2026? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $14K | — | Yes $125 |