PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
Devilswithjoystick0xdeff55f3132a313985035c34539e94da7b9178f8RN1
Record (consensus markets)no settled market95% (246–12, n=258)49% (7263–7633, n=14896)
Consensus PnL—$128K$13.4M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #991PM monthly #618Hand-picked
Sides with the consensusno open consensus positionno open consensus position59% (87 of 147 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
Weakest topic———
Settled positions, side won—97% of 304 at avg 52¢, ROI +45%93% of 19633 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢—6% (won 83% of 18)10% (won 52% of 2020)
Entries 30–50¢—29% (won 97% of 88)22% (won 93% of 4355)
Entries 50–70¢—63% (won 98% of 190)37% (won 99% of 7260)
Entries 70¢ and up—3% (won 100% of 8)31% (won 100% of 5998)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.