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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
D8D5289c35124b5353f5A10A28B8cC29aEC38935fantasy7788FlaznorpThunderous-Authoritarian-Snarl
Record (consensus markets)92% (11–1, n=12)50% (9–9, n=18)74% (1443–503, n=1946)40% (4–6, n=10)
Consensus PnL$5.8K$435K$298K$365K
Tracked asPM monthly #885PM monthly #37PM monthly #45was PM monthly #70
Sides with the consensus83% (30 of 36 open)no open consensus position61% (170 of 280 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topicsnot computed yetnone with 10+ settlednone with 10+ settled
Weakest topic——College Basketball −3 pts, n=123—
Settled positions, side won—100% of 10 at avg 48¢, ROI +54%48% of 490 at avg 48¢, ROI 0%80% of 5 at avg 39¢, ROI +62%
Entries under 30¢—10% (won 100% of 1)32% (won 5% of 159)20% (won 0% of 1)
Entries 30–50¢—50% (won 100% of 5)24% (won 43% of 119)60% (won 100% of 3)
Entries 50–70¢—30% (won 100% of 3)14% (won 61% of 70)20% (won 100% of 1)
Entries 70¢ and up—10% (won 100% of 1)29% (won 95% of 142)0%

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.