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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| CustomTrader | thetesterguy | RN1 | hoodquant | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | no settled market | 96% (24–1, n=25) | 49% (7116–7479, n=14595) | 95% (19937–991, n=20928) |
| Consensus PnL | — | $27K | $13.3M | $18K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #841 | PM monthly #532 | Hand-picked | PM monthly #588 |
| Sides with the consensus | 75% (3 of 4 open) | 100% (1 of 1 open) | 42% (59 of 139 open) | 100% (3 of 3 open) |
| Strongest topics | not computed yet |
|
| none with 10+ settled |
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | — | 96% of 25 at avg 93¢, ROI +2% | 93% of 19633 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% | 98% of 12253 at avg 98¢, ROI +1% |
| Entries under 30¢ | — | 0% | 10% (won 52% of 2020) | 0% (won 15% of 27) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | — | 0% | 22% (won 93% of 4355) | 1% (won 28% of 80) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | — | 0% | 37% (won 99% of 7260) | 1% (won 55% of 95) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | — | 100% (won 96% of 25) | 31% (won 100% of 5998) | 98% (won 99% of 12051) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
0 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | CustomTrader | thetesterguy | RN1 | hoodquant |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Manchester United FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: O/U 0.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Over $132K | Under $899 | — |