PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
CustomTraderUsername2133facaigegehoodquant
Record (consensus markets)no settled market47% (8–9, n=17)47% (247–284, n=531)95% (19937–991, n=20928)
Consensus PnL—$77K-$40K$18K
Tracked asPM monthly #841PM monthly #585was PM monthly #934PM monthly #588
Sides with the consensus75% (3 of 4 open)100% (8 of 8 open)100% (1 of 1 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • Esports +43 pts n=208, ROI +42%
  • Soccer +44 pts n=10, ROI +43%
  • NBA +31 pts n=14, ROI +28%
none with 10+ settled
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won—100% of 36 at avg 76¢, ROI −4%97% of 248 at avg 55¢, ROI +41%98% of 12253 at avg 98¢, ROI +1%
Entries under 30¢—0%6% (won 94% of 16)0% (won 15% of 27)
Entries 30–50¢—6% (won 100% of 2)33% (won 96% of 81)1% (won 28% of 80)
Entries 50–70¢—33% (won 100% of 12)42% (won 97% of 103)1% (won 55% of 95)
Entries 70¢ and up—61% (won 100% of 22)19% (won 100% of 48)98% (won 99% of 12051)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.