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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
Add:wr0ngw4yb3tt0rGoalLineGhost0x492442EaB586F242B53bDa933fD5dE859c8A3782-17663175411880xE16D3F2A5807999b358aFfD9445C3a09E45E5e30-1776429210592NiNo999BreakTheBank
| CustomTrader | forrestgumper | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | no settled market | 46% (413–493, n=906) | 49% (7115–7476, n=14591) |
| Consensus PnL | — | $61K | $13.3M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #937 | PM monthly #498 | Hand-picked |
| Sides with the consensus | 67% (6 of 9 open) | 0% (0 of 3 open) | 50% (51 of 103 open) |
| Strongest topics | not computed yet |
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| Weakest topic | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | — | 63% of 627 at avg 48¢, ROI +7% | 93% of 19633 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | — | 30% (won 23% of 185) | 10% (won 52% of 2020) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | — | 19% (won 54% of 119) | 22% (won 93% of 4355) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | — | 25% (won 83% of 157) | 37% (won 99% of 7260) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | — | 26% (won 95% of 166) | 31% (won 100% of 5998) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
0 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | CustomTrader | forrestgumper | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? opposite sides · consensus No | No $54 | Yes $575 | — |