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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
CustomTraderforrestgumpercambridgeisaac
Record (consensus markets)no settled market46% (413–493, n=906)59% (554–380, n=934)
Consensus PnL—$61K$68K
Tracked asPM monthly #937PM monthly #498was PM monthly #867 + pinned
Sides with the consensus67% (6 of 9 open)0% (0 of 3 open)51% (51 of 100 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
Weakest topic——Elections −6 pts, n=143
Settled positions, side won—63% of 627 at avg 48¢, ROI +7%68% of 1334 at avg 65¢, ROI +7%
Entries under 30¢—30% (won 23% of 185)19% (won 6% of 254)
Entries 30–50¢—19% (won 54% of 119)8% (won 28% of 108)
Entries 50–70¢—25% (won 83% of 157)11% (won 71% of 142)
Entries 70¢ and up—26% (won 95% of 166)62% (won 92% of 830)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

0 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketCustomTraderforrestgumpercambridgeisaac
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $54Yes $575—