PolyConsensus
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Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
CustomTraderUsername2133siick0xe617861a96631d7cefdb1ad43e95c33b5946f251
Record (consensus markets)no settled market47% (8–9, n=17)59% (486–344, n=830)89% (382–46, n=428)
Consensus PnL—$77K$99K-$38K
Tracked asPM monthly #841PM monthly #585Hand-pickedwas PM monthly #993
Sides with the consensus75% (3 of 4 open)100% (8 of 8 open)75% (40 of 53 open)83% (5 of 6 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • Geopolitics +12 pts n=445, ROI +4%
  • MMA +14 pts n=212, ROI +20%
  • NHL +14 pts n=95, ROI +17%
  • Tech +4 pts n=33, ROI +10%
Weakest topic——NFL −7 pts, n=19Weather −3 pts, n=104
Settled positions, side won—100% of 36 at avg 76¢, ROI −4%68% of 1019 at avg 56¢, ROI +6%91% of 737 at avg 92¢, ROI 0%
Entries under 30¢—0%21% (won 22% of 209)1% (won 50% of 8)
Entries 30–50¢—6% (won 100% of 2)14% (won 57% of 143)1% (won 25% of 4)
Entries 50–70¢—33% (won 100% of 12)30% (won 72% of 304)3% (won 64% of 25)
Entries 70¢ and up—61% (won 100% of 22)36% (won 95% of 363)95% (won 93% of 700)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

1 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketCustomTraderUsername2133siick0xe617861a96631d7cefdb1ad43e95c33b5946f251
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $940—Yes $44K