PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
CustomTraderRN10x1ba747eaed3e0e798922523dbed29693bcf767a1llllllIIIIIIlIllllllIIIIIIlIllllllIIIIIIlI
Record (consensus markets)no settled market49% (7116–7479, n=14595)92% (782–64, n=846)59% (795–543, n=1338)
Consensus PnL—$13.3M$93K$69K
Tracked asPM monthly #841Hand-pickedPM monthly #864was PM monthly #636
Sides with the consensus75% (3 of 4 open)43% (60 of 140 open)no open consensus position100% (3 of 3 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
Weakest topic———NFL −2 pts, n=25
Settled positions, side won—93% of 19633 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%99% of 704 at avg 52¢, ROI +47%59% of 1354 at avg 58¢, ROI +1%
Entries under 30¢—10% (won 52% of 2020)4% (won 96% of 26)5% (won 23% of 64)
Entries 30–50¢—22% (won 93% of 4355)30% (won 99% of 208)29% (won 45% of 390)
Entries 50–70¢—37% (won 99% of 7260)66% (won 99% of 468)41% (won 60% of 558)
Entries 70¢ and up—31% (won 100% of 5998)0% (won 100% of 2)25% (won 80% of 342)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.