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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| CustomTrader | calm919 | hasobidale | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | no settled market | 89% (226–28, n=254) | 67% (193–96, n=289) | 49% (7116–7479, n=14595) |
| Consensus PnL | — | $14K | $9.0K | $13.3M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #841 | PM monthly #748 | was PM monthly #987 | Hand-picked |
| Sides with the consensus | 75% (3 of 4 open) | no open consensus position | 0% (0 of 1 open) | 42% (58 of 138 open) |
| Strongest topics | not computed yet |
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| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | — | 92% of 239 at avg 71¢, ROI +22% | 67% of 283 at avg 64¢, ROI +3% | 93% of 19633 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | — | 0% | 0% (won 0% of 1) | 10% (won 52% of 2020) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | — | 11% (won 69% of 26) | 6% (won 47% of 17) | 22% (won 93% of 4355) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | — | 32% (won 93% of 76) | 61% (won 65% of 172) | 37% (won 99% of 7260) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | — | 57% (won 96% of 137) | 33% (won 75% of 93) | 31% (won 100% of 5998) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
0 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | CustomTrader | calm919 | hasobidale | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Map Handicap: MOUZ (-1.5) vs 9z (+1.5) opposite sides · consensus MOUZ | — | — | 9z $772 | MOUZ $3.5K |