PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
CustomTradercalm9190x1ba747eaed3e0e798922523dbed29693bcf767a10xe617861a96631d7cefdb1ad43e95c33b5946f251
Record (consensus markets)no settled market89% (226–28, n=254)92% (782–64, n=846)89% (382–46, n=428)
Consensus PnL—$14K$93K-$38K
Tracked asPM monthly #841PM monthly #748PM monthly #864was PM monthly #993
Sides with the consensus75% (3 of 4 open)no open consensus positionno open consensus position83% (5 of 6 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • Tech +4 pts n=33, ROI +10%
Weakest topic———Weather −3 pts, n=104
Settled positions, side won—92% of 239 at avg 71¢, ROI +22%99% of 704 at avg 52¢, ROI +47%91% of 737 at avg 92¢, ROI 0%
Entries under 30¢—0%4% (won 96% of 26)1% (won 50% of 8)
Entries 30–50¢—11% (won 69% of 26)30% (won 99% of 208)1% (won 25% of 4)
Entries 50–70¢—32% (won 93% of 76)66% (won 99% of 468)3% (won 64% of 25)
Entries 70¢ and up—57% (won 96% of 137)0% (won 100% of 2)95% (won 93% of 700)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.