← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| Contestable-Parfait | pspspsps5 | 0010001000001100 | Bonereaper | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 61% (30–19, n=49) | 63% (11398–6646, n=18044) | 81% (1284–298, n=1582) | 86% (43246–6849, n=50095) |
| Consensus PnL | $8.3K | $274K | $127K | $14.9M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #236 | PM monthly #557 | was PM monthly #799 | PM monthly #273 |
| Sides with the consensus | 73% (78 of 107 open) | 0% (0 of 4 open) | no open consensus position | 40% (4 of 10 open) |
| Strongest topics | none with 10+ settled |
| ||
| Weakest topic | — | — | NBA −2 pts, n=70 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 71% of 14 at avg 64¢, ROI −13% | 100% of 7800 at avg 61¢, ROI +37% | 87% of 1457 at avg 70¢, ROI +10% | 98% of 36616 at avg 67¢, ROI +24% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 29% (won 0% of 4) | 26% (won 100% of 1995) | 11% (won 45% of 155) | 4% (won 85% of 1370) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 14% (won 100% of 2) | 13% (won 100% of 988) | 11% (won 72% of 159) | 16% (won 95% of 5840) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 0% | 14% (won 100% of 1083) | 16% (won 89% of 232) | 35% (won 98% of 12695) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 57% (won 100% of 8) | 48% (won 100% of 3734) | 63% (won 97% of 911) | 46% (won 100% of 16711) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
2 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | Contestable-Parfait | pspspsps5 | 0010001000001100 | Bonereaper |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET opposite sides · consensus Up | — | Down $49 | — | Up $47 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET same side · consensus Up | — | Down $7 | — | Down $18 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET same side · consensus Down | — | Up $7 | — | Up $11 |