← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| Contestable-Parfait | melganis | thismonth | texaskid | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 61% (30–19, n=49) | 79% (1034–278, n=1312) | 63% (421–246, n=667) | 66% (367–187, n=554) |
| Consensus PnL | $8.3K | $56K | $75K | $7.0M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #117 | Hand-picked | was PM monthly #676 | was PM monthly #51 |
| Sides with the consensus | 73% (78 of 107 open) | 71% (29 of 41 open) | 0% (0 of 3 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics | none with 10+ settled |
|
|
|
| Weakest topic | — | Crypto −2 pts, n=71 | — | College Basketball ±0 pts, n=29 |
| Settled positions, side won | 71% of 14 at avg 64¢, ROI −13% | 74% of 1660 at avg 69¢, ROI +2% | 63% of 618 at avg 35¢, ROI +10% | 75% of 566 at avg 53¢, ROI +19% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 29% (won 0% of 4) | 20% (won 7% of 324) | 43% (won 40% of 266) | 1% (won 0% of 3) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 14% (won 100% of 2) | 6% (won 41% of 99) | 33% (won 72% of 205) | 26% (won 68% of 148) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 0% | 8% (won 70% of 125) | 18% (won 92% of 110) | 69% (won 78% of 392) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 57% (won 100% of 8) | 67% (won 97% of 1112) | 6% (won 95% of 37) | 4% (won 87% of 23) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
2 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | Contestable-Parfait | melganis | thismonth | texaskid |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? same side · consensus No | No $1.2K | No $184 | — | — |
| Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $834 | Yes $26 | — | — |