PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
Contestable-Parfait0x9276a06e653bb5c9be6854ba37c8f9167f405786eschaworldchampion2026levaluv
Record (consensus markets)no settled market53% (26–23, n=49)47% (15–17, n=32)49% (36–38, n=74)
Consensus PnL—-$479$927K$27K
Tracked asPM monthly #115PM monthly #880PM monthly #407was PM monthly #851
Sides with the consensus73% (78 of 107 open)no open consensus positionno open consensus positionno open consensus position
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settlednone with 10+ settled
  • NBA +9 pts n=66, ROI −3%
Weakest topic—Tennis −8 pts, n=62——
Settled positions, side won71% of 14 at avg 64¢, ROI −13%90% of 62 at avg 98¢, ROI 0%51% of 74 at avg 40¢, ROI +1%89% of 38 at avg 52¢, ROI +32%
Entries under 30¢29% (won 0% of 4)2% (won 0% of 1)32% (won 33% of 24)3% (won 0% of 1)
Entries 30–50¢14% (won 100% of 2)0%39% (won 55% of 29)32% (won 83% of 12)
Entries 50–70¢0%0%23% (won 59% of 17)66% (won 96% of 25)
Entries 70¢ and up57% (won 100% of 8)98% (won 92% of 61)5% (won 100% of 4)0%

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.