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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| Contestable-Parfait | 0x50f7 | 88M | Bonereaper | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 61% (30–19, n=49) | 83% (37751–7791, n=45542) | 49% (659–677, n=1336) | 86% (43246–6849, n=50095) |
| Consensus PnL | $8.3K | $562K | $528K | $14.9M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #236 | PM monthly #319 | was PM monthly #629 | PM monthly #273 |
| Sides with the consensus | 73% (78 of 107 open) | 100% (1 of 1 open) | 100% (2 of 2 open) | 50% (5 of 10 open) |
| Strongest topics | none with 10+ settled |
| ||
| Weakest topic | — | — | Mentions −14 pts, n=12 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 71% of 14 at avg 64¢, ROI −13% | 89% of 28117 at avg 81¢, ROI +2% | 55% of 1257 at avg 42¢, ROI +13% | 98% of 36616 at avg 67¢, ROI +24% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 29% (won 0% of 4) | 14% (won 18% of 3904) | 27% (won 18% of 337) | 4% (won 85% of 1370) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 14% (won 100% of 2) | 3% (won 100% of 787) | 36% (won 58% of 455) | 16% (won 95% of 5840) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 0% | 6% (won 100% of 1765) | 30% (won 75% of 371) | 35% (won 98% of 12695) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 57% (won 100% of 8) | 77% (won 100% of 21661) | 7% (won 87% of 94) | 46% (won 100% of 16711) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
0 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | Contestable-Parfait | 0x50f7 | 88M | Bonereaper |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET opposite sides · consensus Down | — | Down $743 | — | Up $123 |