PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
CHAPUBARApspspsps5qiu3texaskid
Record (consensus markets)no settled market63% (11398–6646, n=18044)89% (8–1, n=9)66% (367–187, n=554)
Consensus PnL—$274K$32K$7.0M
Tracked asPM monthly #294PM monthly #557was PM monthly #573was PM monthly #51
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position0% (0 of 4 open)no open consensus positionno open consensus position
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • Crypto +39 pts n=7800, ROI +37%
Weakest topic———College Basketball ±0 pts, n=29
Settled positions, side won—100% of 7800 at avg 61¢, ROI +37%98% of 43 at avg 57¢, ROI +37%75% of 566 at avg 53¢, ROI +19%
Entries under 30¢—26% (won 100% of 1995)5% (won 100% of 2)1% (won 0% of 3)
Entries 30–50¢—13% (won 100% of 988)26% (won 91% of 11)26% (won 68% of 148)
Entries 50–70¢—14% (won 100% of 1083)56% (won 100% of 24)69% (won 78% of 392)
Entries 70¢ and up—48% (won 100% of 3734)14% (won 100% of 6)4% (won 87% of 23)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.