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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankjoseph00677wesolyjasiu
Record (consensus markets)45% (547–663, n=1210)53% (10–9, n=19)99% (1849–13, n=1862)
Consensus PnL$11.0M$5.6M$9.3K
Tracked asPM monthly #1PM monthly #2PM monthly #579
Sides with the consensus69% (79 of 114 open)no open consensus position100% (2 of 2 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=141, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=96, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=280, ROI +38%
none with 10+ settled
Weakest topic———
Settled positions, side won97% of 563 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%100% of 1447 at avg 99¢, ROI 0%
Entries under 30¢10% (won 81% of 57)12% (won 0% of 2)0% (won 0% of 4)
Entries 30–50¢36% (won 98% of 201)6% (won 0% of 1)0% (won 40% of 5)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 99% of 196)65% (won 73% of 11)0% (won 100% of 1)
Entries 70¢ and up19% (won 100% of 109)18% (won 67% of 3)99% (won 100% of 1437)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.