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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankjoseph00677sainttroplaywhosay
Record (consensus markets)45% (547–663, n=1210)53% (10–9, n=19)71% (10–4, n=14)58% (1113–799, n=1912)
Consensus PnL$11.0M$5.6M$4.4M-$41K
Tracked asPM monthly #1PM monthly #2was PM monthly #11PM monthly #635
Sides with the consensus68% (77 of 114 open)no open consensus positionno open consensus position44% (4 of 9 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=141, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=96, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=280, ROI +38%
Weakest topic———Tennis −3 pts, n=691
Settled positions, side won97% of 563 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52%58% of 2081 at avg 59¢, ROI −1%
Entries under 30¢10% (won 81% of 57)12% (won 0% of 2)0%11% (won 16% of 239)
Entries 30–50¢36% (won 98% of 201)6% (won 0% of 1)50% (won 100% of 5)26% (won 35% of 547)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 99% of 196)65% (won 73% of 11)50% (won 100% of 5)28% (won 58% of 583)
Entries 70¢ and up19% (won 100% of 109)18% (won 67% of 3)0%34% (won 88% of 712)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.