Skip to content

Database problems: some data is degraded. We're fixing it right now.

Details
PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankgoogleplayHomeRunHazardx6916Cc00AA1c3e75ECf4081DF7caE7D2f3592fd4
Record (consensus markets)53% (23–20, n=43)50% (5–5, n=10)54% (233–198, n=431)no settled market
Consensus PnL$543K$430K$261K$681
Tracked asPM monthly #1PM monthly #18PM monthly #7was PM monthly #724
Sides with the consensus60% (6 of 10 open)no open consensus position70% (69 of 99 open)83% (33 of 40 open)
Strongest topics
  • NBA +51 pts n=14, ROI +48%
none with 10+ settlednot computed yet
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won100% of 23 at avg 50¢, ROI +47%100% of 5 at avg 51¢, ROI +49%100% of 97 at avg 54¢, ROI +46%—
Entries under 30¢0%0%1% (won 100% of 1)—
Entries 30–50¢57% (won 100% of 13)20% (won 100% of 1)32% (won 100% of 31)—
Entries 50–70¢39% (won 100% of 9)80% (won 100% of 4)57% (won 100% of 55)—
Entries 70¢ and up4% (won 100% of 1)0%10% (won 100% of 10)—

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

0 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankgoogleplayHomeRunHazardx6916Cc00AA1c3e75ECf4081DF7caE7D2f3592fd4
Thunder vs. Trail Blazers
opposite sides · consensus Trail Blazers
Trail Blazers $33K—Thunder $5.9K—
Spread: Trail Blazers (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Thunder
Trail Blazers $563—Thunder $5.2K—
Spread: Trail Blazers (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Trail Blazers
Trail Blazers $111—Thunder $4.4K—