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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BreakTheBank | fantasy7788 | HomeRunHazard | Wal1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 54% (25–21, n=46) | 50% (5–5, n=10) | 54% (268–231, n=499) | 75% (12–4, n=16) |
| Consensus PnL | $737K | $410K | $278K | $23K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #42 | PM monthly #7 | PM monthly #898 |
| Sides with the consensus | 63% (5 of 8 open) | 0% (0 of 2 open) | 69% (50 of 72 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
| none with 10+ settled |
| none with 10+ settled |
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | NBA −4 pts, n=17 |
| Settled positions, side won | 100% of 23 at avg 50¢, ROI +47% | 100% of 5 at avg 50¢, ROI +54% | 100% of 97 at avg 54¢, ROI +46% | 47% of 17 at avg 51¢, ROI +5% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 0% | 20% (won 100% of 1) | 1% (won 100% of 1) | 18% (won 0% of 3) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 57% (won 100% of 13) | 20% (won 100% of 1) | 32% (won 100% of 31) | 18% (won 67% of 3) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 39% (won 100% of 9) | 60% (won 100% of 3) | 57% (won 100% of 55) | 53% (won 44% of 9) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 4% (won 100% of 1) | 0% | 10% (won 100% of 10) | 12% (won 100% of 2) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
0 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | BreakTheBank | fantasy7788 | HomeRunHazard | Wal1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Trail Blazers (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Trail Blazers | Trail Blazers $689 | — | Thunder $4.3K | — |