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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BreakTheBank | easypredict | HomeRunHazard | lllllllIlll | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 58% (22–16, n=38) | 0% (0–1, n=1) | 55% (216–179, n=395) | 36% (4–7, n=11) |
| Consensus PnL | $837K | -$177 | $290K | $165K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #1 | was PM monthly #986 | PM monthly #7 | was PM monthly #634 |
| Sides with the consensus | 45% (5 of 11 open) | 60% (3 of 5 open) | 62% (79 of 127 open) | 0% (0 of 1 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| not computed yet |
| none with 10+ settled |
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 100% of 23 at avg 50¢, ROI +47% | — | 100% of 97 at avg 54¢, ROI +46% | 100% of 5 at avg 64¢, ROI +32% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 0% | — | 1% (won 100% of 1) | 0% |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 57% (won 100% of 13) | — | 32% (won 100% of 31) | 0% |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 39% (won 100% of 9) | — | 57% (won 100% of 55) | 60% (won 100% of 3) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 4% (won 100% of 1) | — | 10% (won 100% of 10) | 40% (won 100% of 2) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | BreakTheBank | easypredict | HomeRunHazard | lllllllIlll |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thunder vs. Trail Blazers opposite sides · consensus Trail Blazers | Trail Blazers $23K | — | Thunder $4.6K | — |
| Spread: Trail Blazers (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Thunder | Trail Blazers $676 | — | Thunder $4.3K | — |
| Spread: Trail Blazers (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Trail Blazers | Trail Blazers $133 | — | Thunder $3.7K | — |
| Spread: Lakers (-14.5) same side · consensus Bucks | Lakers $3.3K | — | Lakers $20K | — |