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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankchinamax
Record (consensus markets)46% (560–665, n=1225)no settled market
Consensus PnL$11.2M—
Tracked asPM monthly #2was PM monthly #983
Sides with the consensus48% (10 of 21 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=141, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=96, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=280, ROI +38%
  • Crypto +16 pts n=36, ROI −3%
  • Soccer +10 pts n=10, ROI −2%
Weakest topic—MLB ±0 pts, n=45
Settled positions, side won97% of 563 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%62% of 99 at avg 52¢, ROI −2%
Entries under 30¢10% (won 81% of 57)7% (won 0% of 7)
Entries 30–50¢36% (won 98% of 201)30% (won 43% of 30)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 99% of 196)52% (won 78% of 51)
Entries 70¢ and up19% (won 100% of 109)11% (won 73% of 11)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.