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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankHomeRunHazardrobustmstx6916Cc00AA1c3e75ECf4081DF7caE7D2f3592fd4
Record (consensus markets)58% (22–16, n=38)55% (216–179, n=395)42% (13–18, n=31)no settled market
Consensus PnL$837K$290K$208K$720
Tracked asPM monthly #1PM monthly #7PM monthly #28was PM monthly #724
Sides with the consensus50% (5 of 10 open)61% (69 of 113 open)no open consensus position83% (35 of 42 open)
Strongest topics
  • NBA +51 pts n=14, ROI +48%
not computed yet
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won100% of 23 at avg 50¢, ROI +47%100% of 97 at avg 54¢, ROI +46%100% of 13 at avg 45¢, ROI +50%—
Entries under 30¢0%1% (won 100% of 1)0%—
Entries 30–50¢57% (won 100% of 13)32% (won 100% of 31)85% (won 100% of 11)—
Entries 50–70¢39% (won 100% of 9)57% (won 100% of 55)15% (won 100% of 2)—
Entries 70¢ and up4% (won 100% of 1)10% (won 100% of 10)0%—

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

0 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankHomeRunHazardrobustmstx6916Cc00AA1c3e75ECf4081DF7caE7D2f3592fd4
Thunder vs. Trail Blazers
opposite sides · consensus Trail Blazers
Trail Blazers $22KThunder $4.6K——
Spread: Trail Blazers (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Thunder
Trail Blazers $676Thunder $4.3K——
Spread: Trail Blazers (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Trail Blazers
Trail Blazers $133Thunder $3.7K——