← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BreakTheBank | HomeRunHazard | juice-fruit | MayorMamdani | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 58% (22–16, n=38) | 55% (216–179, n=395) | 100% (1–0, n=1) | 91% (233–23, n=256) |
| Consensus PnL | $837K | $290K | $152K | $982 |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #7 | PM monthly #31 | was PM monthly #917 |
| Sides with the consensus | 50% (5 of 10 open) | 61% (69 of 113 open) | no open consensus position | 100% (2 of 2 open) |
| Strongest topics |
|
| none with 10+ settled |
|
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 100% of 23 at avg 50¢, ROI +47% | 100% of 97 at avg 54¢, ROI +46% | 100% of 1 at avg 41¢, ROI +59% | 100% of 133 at avg 87¢, ROI +11% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 0% | 1% (won 100% of 1) | 0% | 2% (won 100% of 2) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 57% (won 100% of 13) | 32% (won 100% of 31) | 100% (won 100% of 1) | 2% (won 100% of 3) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 39% (won 100% of 9) | 57% (won 100% of 55) | 0% | 5% (won 100% of 6) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 4% (won 100% of 1) | 10% (won 100% of 10) | 0% | 92% (won 100% of 122) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
0 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | BreakTheBank | HomeRunHazard | juice-fruit | MayorMamdani |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thunder vs. Trail Blazers opposite sides · consensus Trail Blazers | Trail Blazers $22K | Thunder $4.6K | — | — |
| Spread: Trail Blazers (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Thunder | Trail Blazers $676 | Thunder $4.3K | — | — |
| Spread: Trail Blazers (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Trail Blazers | Trail Blazers $133 | Thunder $3.7K | — | — |