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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BlackPeopleDontRecycle | shibagege | Rock.San | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | no settled market | 49% (157–166, n=323) | 93% (10433–733, n=11166) |
| Consensus PnL | — | $99K | $166K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #750 | Hand-picked | was PM monthly #998 |
| Sides with the consensus | 83% (5 of 6 open) | 100% (3 of 3 open) | 100% (2 of 2 open) |
| Strongest topics | not computed yet |
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|
| Weakest topic | — | — | Crypto −1 pts, n=3873 |
| Settled positions, side won | — | 88% of 261 at avg 75¢, ROI +3% | 93% of 8787 at avg 93¢, ROI 0% |
| Entries under 30¢ | — | 10% (won 56% of 25) | 5% (won 7% of 420) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | — | 5% (won 75% of 12) | 2% (won 30% of 135) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | — | 16% (won 86% of 43) | 2% (won 56% of 195) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | — | 69% (won 93% of 181) | 91% (won 99% of 8037) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
2 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | BlackPeopleDontRecycle | shibagege | Rock.San |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? same side · consensus No | No $7.0K | No $121K | — |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? same side · consensus No | No $454 | No $51K | — |