PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BlackPeopleDontRecycleRememberAmalekwhilwhile
Record (consensus markets)no settled market66% (718–365, n=1083)67% (6–3, n=9)
Consensus PnL—$752K$18K
Tracked asPM monthly #750was PM monthly #881 + pinnedPM monthly #729
Sides with the consensus83% (5 of 6 open)66% (76 of 116 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
Weakest topic———
Settled positions, side won—73% of 1122 at avg 61¢, ROI +5%99% of 67 at avg 66¢, ROI +2%
Entries under 30¢—24% (won 21% of 270)4% (won 100% of 3)
Entries 30–50¢—13% (won 63% of 148)16% (won 91% of 11)
Entries 50–70¢—15% (won 82% of 163)24% (won 100% of 16)
Entries 70¢ and up—48% (won 98% of 541)55% (won 100% of 37)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.