← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| Bear9011 | Naichli | 0x1ba747eaed3e0e798922523dbed29693bcf767a1 | calm919 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | no settled market | 46% (604–706, n=1310) | 92% (782–64, n=846) | 89% (226–28, n=254) |
| Consensus PnL | — | $81K | $93K | $14K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #366 | Hand-picked | PM monthly #852 | PM monthly #754 |
| Sides with the consensus | 33% (1 of 3 open) | no open consensus position | 0% (0 of 1 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics | not computed yet |
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| Weakest topic | — | Mentions −1 pts, n=556 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | — | 48% of 1738 at avg 47¢, ROI +1% | 99% of 704 at avg 52¢, ROI +47% | 92% of 239 at avg 71¢, ROI +22% |
| Entries under 30¢ | — | 36% (won 6% of 622) | 4% (won 96% of 26) | 0% |
| Entries 30–50¢ | — | 14% (won 47% of 240) | 30% (won 99% of 208) | 11% (won 69% of 26) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | — | 20% (won 58% of 350) | 66% (won 99% of 468) | 32% (won 93% of 76) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | — | 30% (won 92% of 526) | 0% (won 100% of 2) | 57% (won 96% of 137) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.