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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| Bear9011 | 0x75d1B199a96801338e67a6eFAa35C0028eA87A5F-1770658242710 | -reef | siick | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | no settled market | 49% (1212–1267, n=2479) | 59% (385–271, n=656) | 59% (486–344, n=830) |
| Consensus PnL | — | $60K | $20K | $99K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #366 | Hand-picked | was PM monthly #999 | Hand-picked |
| Sides with the consensus | 33% (1 of 3 open) | 25% (3 of 12 open) | no open consensus position | 75% (40 of 53 open) |
| Strongest topics | not computed yet |
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| Weakest topic | — | Politics −6 pts, n=74 | — | NFL −7 pts, n=19 |
| Settled positions, side won | — | 55% of 1049 at avg 50¢, ROI +8% | 56% of 559 at avg 49¢, ROI +5% | 68% of 1019 at avg 56¢, ROI +6% |
| Entries under 30¢ | — | 24% (won 19% of 254) | 26% (won 26% of 147) | 21% (won 22% of 209) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | — | 23% (won 40% of 241) | 26% (won 42% of 144) | 14% (won 57% of 143) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | — | 29% (won 70% of 304) | 23% (won 65% of 126) | 30% (won 72% of 304) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | — | 24% (won 89% of 250) | 25% (won 92% of 142) | 36% (won 95% of 363) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | Bear9011 | 0x75d1B199a96801338e67a6eFAa35C0028eA87A5F-1770658242710 | -reef | siick |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SAVE Act becomes law by December 31, 2026? opposite sides · consensus No | — | Yes $21 | — | No $20 |
| Will Donald Trump visit Israel in 2026? same side · consensus Yes | — | Yes $67 | — | Yes $1 |