PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
Bear90110x75d1B199a96801338e67a6eFAa35C0028eA87A5F-1770658242710cqscalm919
Record (consensus markets)no settled market49% (1212–1267, n=2479)67% (151–73, n=224)89% (226–28, n=254)
Consensus PnL—$60K$309K$14K
Tracked asPM monthly #366Hand-pickedwas PM monthly #998PM monthly #754
Sides with the consensus33% (1 of 3 open)25% (3 of 12 open)73% (11 of 15 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
Weakest topic—Politics −6 pts, n=74——
Settled positions, side won—55% of 1049 at avg 50¢, ROI +8%70% of 341 at avg 64¢, ROI +5%92% of 239 at avg 71¢, ROI +22%
Entries under 30¢—24% (won 19% of 254)20% (won 9% of 69)0%
Entries 30–50¢—23% (won 40% of 241)11% (won 47% of 36)11% (won 69% of 26)
Entries 50–70¢—29% (won 70% of 304)13% (won 69% of 45)32% (won 93% of 76)
Entries 70¢ and up—24% (won 89% of 250)56% (won 96% of 191)57% (won 96% of 137)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

0 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBear90110x75d1B199a96801338e67a6eFAa35C0028eA87A5F-1770658242710cqscalm919
SAVE Act becomes law by December 31, 2026?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $21No $9.5K—