PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
AnonymousPersonhoward22222formyfamiliaGggggrr88
Record (consensus markets)no settled market47% (93–107, n=200)95% (104–6, n=110)89% (101–12, n=113)
Consensus PnL—$62K-$8.1K$163K
Tracked aswas PM monthly #256was PM monthly #656was PM monthly #549was PM monthly #654
Sides with the consensusno open consensus positionno open consensus positionno open consensus positionno open consensus position
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • Esports +7 pts n=103, ROI +21%
  • NBA +4 pts n=15, ROI −4%
Weakest topic—Soccer −13 pts, n=27Tennis −6 pts, n=19—
Settled positions, side won—46% of 183 at avg 43¢, ROI +18%92% of 112 at avg 89¢, ROI 0%100% of 103 at avg 57¢, ROI +43%
Entries under 30¢—21% (won 10% of 39)0%1% (won 100% of 1)
Entries 30–50¢—40% (won 38% of 73)0%26% (won 100% of 27)
Entries 50–70¢—33% (won 72% of 61)9% (won 40% of 10)63% (won 100% of 65)
Entries 70¢ and up—5% (won 80% of 10)91% (won 97% of 102)10% (won 100% of 10)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.