PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
AnonymousPersonhoward22222berlinskies0xdeff55f3132a313985035c34539e94da7b9178f8
Record (consensus markets)no settled market47% (93–107, n=200)58% (4742–3407, n=8149)95% (246–12, n=258)
Consensus PnL—$62K$46K$128K
Tracked aswas PM monthly #256was PM monthly #656PM monthly #299PM monthly #627
Sides with the consensusno open consensus positionno open consensus position75% (6 of 8 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • Esports +7 pts n=103, ROI +21%
  • NBA +4 pts n=15, ROI −4%
Weakest topic—Soccer −13 pts, n=27——
Settled positions, side won—46% of 183 at avg 43¢, ROI +18%98% of 1841 at avg 62¢, ROI +43%97% of 304 at avg 52¢, ROI +45%
Entries under 30¢—21% (won 10% of 39)6% (won 91% of 115)6% (won 83% of 18)
Entries 30–50¢—40% (won 38% of 73)21% (won 97% of 389)29% (won 97% of 88)
Entries 50–70¢—33% (won 72% of 61)35% (won 99% of 643)63% (won 98% of 190)
Entries 70¢ and up—5% (won 80% of 10)38% (won 100% of 694)3% (won 100% of 8)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.