PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
AnonymousPersonTheyAreTakingTheHobitsToIsengardhoney-spot
Record (consensus markets)no settled market95% (136–7, n=143)95% (230–11, n=241)
Consensus PnL—$476K$112K
Tracked aswas PM monthly #256was PM monthly #149was PM monthly #1000
Sides with the consensus100% (2 of 2 open)75% (3 of 4 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • Soccer +32 pts n=74, ROI +25%
  • MLB +45 pts n=10, ROI +35%
  • Esports +31 pts n=21, ROI +27%
  • Crypto +22 pts n=201, ROI +23%
Weakest topic———
Settled positions, side won—99% of 147 at avg 66¢, ROI +37%97% of 202 at avg 75¢, ROI +23%
Entries under 30¢—0%2% (won 40% of 5)
Entries 30–50¢—16% (won 96% of 23)11% (won 86% of 22)
Entries 50–70¢—44% (won 100% of 64)22% (won 100% of 45)
Entries 70¢ and up—41% (won 100% of 60)64% (won 100% of 130)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.