PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
AnonymousPersonTheyAreTakingTheHobitsToIsengardVps1
Record (consensus markets)no settled market95% (136–7, n=143)92% (176–15, n=191)
Consensus PnL—$476K$54K
Tracked aswas PM monthly #256was PM monthly #149PM monthly #139
Sides with the consensus100% (2 of 2 open)75% (3 of 4 open)0% (0 of 1 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • Soccer +32 pts n=74, ROI +25%
  • MLB +45 pts n=10, ROI +35%
  • Esports +31 pts n=21, ROI +27%
Weakest topic———
Settled positions, side won—99% of 147 at avg 66¢, ROI +37%96% of 53 at avg 87¢, ROI +32%
Entries under 30¢—0%4% (won 100% of 2)
Entries 30–50¢—16% (won 96% of 23)8% (won 75% of 4)
Entries 50–70¢—44% (won 100% of 64)9% (won 80% of 5)
Entries 70¢ and up—41% (won 100% of 60)79% (won 100% of 42)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.