PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
AnonymousPerson0x20D6436849F930584892730C7F96eBB2Ac763856-1768642056357berlinskiesRN1
Record (consensus markets)no settled market58% (534–392, n=926)58% (4742–3407, n=8149)49% (7375–7754, n=15129)
Consensus PnL—$597K$46K$13.4M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #256PM monthly #76PM monthly #299Hand-picked
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position75% (6 of 8 open)75% (6 of 8 open)65% (48 of 74 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
Weakest topic—NBA −1 pts, n=279——
Settled positions, side won—57% of 957 at avg 50¢, ROI +4%98% of 1841 at avg 62¢, ROI +43%93% of 19836 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢—12% (won 25% of 114)6% (won 91% of 115)10% (won 51% of 2050)
Entries 30–50¢—44% (won 54% of 418)21% (won 97% of 389)22% (won 93% of 4398)
Entries 50–70¢—33% (won 63% of 312)35% (won 99% of 643)37% (won 99% of 7331)
Entries 70¢ and up—12% (won 89% of 113)38% (won 100% of 694)31% (won 100% of 6057)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.