PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
AnonymousPerson0x20D6436849F930584892730C7F96eBB2Ac763856-1768642056357berlinskiesdiceking
Record (consensus markets)no settled market58% (534–392, n=926)58% (4742–3407, n=8149)59% (228–160, n=388)
Consensus PnL—$597K$46K$68K
Tracked aswas PM monthly #256PM monthly #76PM monthly #299was PM monthly #957
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position75% (6 of 8 open)71% (5 of 7 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
Weakest topic—NBA −1 pts, n=279——
Settled positions, side won—57% of 957 at avg 50¢, ROI +4%98% of 1841 at avg 62¢, ROI +43%62% of 360 at avg 51¢, ROI +9%
Entries under 30¢—12% (won 25% of 114)6% (won 91% of 115)1% (won 0% of 4)
Entries 30–50¢—44% (won 54% of 418)21% (won 97% of 389)25% (won 54% of 89)
Entries 50–70¢—33% (won 63% of 312)35% (won 99% of 643)74% (won 66% of 266)
Entries 70¢ and up—12% (won 89% of 113)38% (won 100% of 694)0% (won 100% of 1)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.