PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
AnonymousPersonTennisLoveppku62980xd0e952c49e2F8251350fbaBEEa8eAF3Eb0A067fF-1730820030728
Record (consensus markets)no settled market89% (8–1, n=9)47% (39–44, n=83)92% (126–11, n=137)
Consensus PnL—$291K$52K$50K
Tracked aswas PM monthly #256PM monthly #435was PM monthly #958was PM monthly #993
Sides with the consensusno open consensus positionno open consensus position30% (3 of 10 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topicsnot computed yetnone with 10+ settled
  • Soccer +39 pts n=18, ROI +44%
  • NBA +28 pts n=30, ROI +20%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won—89% of 9 at avg 67¢, ROI +25%81% of 57 at avg 49¢, ROI +26%98% of 111 at avg 50¢, ROI +42%
Entries under 30¢—0%2% (won 100% of 1)6% (won 100% of 7)
Entries 30–50¢—0%60% (won 76% of 34)41% (won 96% of 46)
Entries 50–70¢—56% (won 80% of 5)37% (won 86% of 21)42% (won 100% of 47)
Entries 70¢ and up—44% (won 100% of 4)2% (won 100% of 1)10% (won 100% of 11)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.