PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
AnonymousPerson0xb46ac9ec39dbb68d76ab82aa16ddae7c400717fcppku6298diceking
Record (consensus markets)no settled market50% (1–1, n=2)47% (39–44, n=83)59% (228–160, n=388)
Consensus PnL—$149$52K$68K
Tracked aswas PM monthly #256was PM monthly #1000was PM monthly #958was PM monthly #957
Sides with the consensusno open consensus positionno open consensus position30% (3 of 10 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topicsnot computed yetnone with 10+ settled
  • Soccer +39 pts n=18, ROI +44%
  • NBA +28 pts n=30, ROI +20%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won—50% of 2 at avg 50¢, ROI +2%81% of 57 at avg 49¢, ROI +26%62% of 360 at avg 51¢, ROI +9%
Entries under 30¢—50% (won 0% of 1)2% (won 100% of 1)1% (won 0% of 4)
Entries 30–50¢—0%60% (won 76% of 34)25% (won 54% of 89)
Entries 50–70¢—0%37% (won 86% of 21)74% (won 66% of 266)
Entries 70¢ and up—50% (won 100% of 1)2% (won 100% of 1)0% (won 100% of 1)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.