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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
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| Ackbar | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 50% (26–26, n=52) | 47% (14240–15745, n=29985) |
| Consensus PnL | -$26K | $14.8M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #998 | PM monthly #30 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 80% (4 of 5 open) | 61% (95 of 156 open) |
| Strongest topics | none with 10+ settled |
|
| Weakest topic | NBA ±0 pts, n=48 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 49% of 51 at avg 50¢, ROI −4% | 94% of 25960 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 2% (won 100% of 1) | 10% (won 57% of 2588) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 31% (won 31% of 16) | 22% (won 94% of 5673) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 67% (won 56% of 34) | 35% (won 99% of 9163) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 0% | 33% (won 100% of 8536) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | Ackbar | RN1 |
|---|---|---|
| Trail Blazers vs. Lakers: O/U 231.5 same side · consensus Under | Over $5.0K | Over $152 |